Record
23matches
23 matches of Real Madrid CF refereed by César Soto Grado, from 2019-20 to 2025-26.
Record
23matches
Points − expected points
+4.0pts over 23 matches
49 points obtained for 45.0 expected from the odds, i.e. +0.175 per match.
If only the odds mattered, over these 23 matches
Points obtained
49
Expected (odds)
45.0
Deviation
+4.0
two-sided p
0.55
Expected 45.0 ± 5.8 pts · probability of a deviation at least this large, in either direction: 55%.
Real Madrid CF against its opponents, with Soto Grado
Deviation per match, raw p and corrected q (Benjamini-Hochberg, all pairs)
| Measure | Deviation | p | q | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Points − expected | +0.175 | 0.55 | 1.00 | inconclusive |
| Penalty balance | −0.096 | 0.54 | 1.00 | inconclusive |
| Red-card balance | −0.079 | 0.52 | 1.00 | inconclusive |
| Yellow-card balance | −0.483 | 0.17 | 1.00 | inconclusive |
| Foul balance | −0.197 | 0.86 | 1.00 | inconclusive |
The club's matches assigned to this referee, observed vs expected
Observed
20
Expected
12.3
p / q
0.05 / 1.00
inconclusive Seasons without a known referee for every match are not counted.
Number of matches (bars) and the season's points − expected deviation (hover)
From Real Madrid CF's point of view.
Loading 23 matches…
23 matches · data file: /data/paires/soto-grado/real-madrid.json