Record
18matches
18 matches of Atlético Madrid refereed by César Soto Grado, from 2019-20 to 2025-26.
Record
18matches
Points − expected points
+6.7pts over 18 matches
42 points obtained for 35.3 expected from the odds, i.e. +0.370 per match.
If only the odds mattered, over these 18 matches
Points obtained
42
Expected (odds)
35.3
Deviation
+6.7
two-sided p
0.22
Expected 35.3 ± 5.0 pts · probability of a deviation at least this large, in either direction: 22%.
Atlético Madrid against its opponents, with Soto Grado
Deviation per match, raw p and corrected q (Benjamini-Hochberg, all pairs)
| Measure | Deviation | p | q | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Points − expected | +0.370 | 0.22 | 1.00 | inconclusive |
| Penalty balance | +0.279 | 0.03 | 1.00 | inconclusive |
| Red-card balance | +0.003 | 1.00 | 1.00 | inconclusive |
| Yellow-card balance | +0.117 | 0.83 | 1.00 | inconclusive |
| Foul balance | −1.178 | 0.29 | 0.94 | inconclusive |
The club's matches assigned to this referee, observed vs expected
Observed
14
Expected
12.2
p / q
0.69 / 1.00
inconclusive Seasons without a known referee for every match are not counted.
Number of matches (bars) and the season's points − expected deviation (hover)
From Atlético Madrid's point of view.
Loading 18 matches…
18 matches · data file: /data/paires/soto-grado/atletico-madrid.json