Record
15matches
15 matches of Real Sociedad refereed by César Soto Grado, from 2019-20 to 2025-26.
Record
15matches
Points − expected points
+2.0pts over 15 matches
25 points obtained for 23.0 expected from the odds, i.e. +0.130 per match.
If only the odds mattered, over these 15 matches
Points obtained
25
Expected (odds)
23.0
Deviation
+2.0
two-sided p
0.76
Expected 23.0 ± 4.8 pts · probability of a deviation at least this large, in either direction: 76%.
Real Sociedad against its opponents, with Soto Grado
Deviation per match, raw p and corrected q (Benjamini-Hochberg, all pairs)
| Measure | Deviation | p | q | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Points − expected | +0.130 | 0.77 | 1.00 | inconclusive |
| Penalty balance | +0.028 | 1.00 | 1.00 | inconclusive |
| Red-card balance | −0.077 | 0.70 | 1.00 | inconclusive |
| Yellow-card balance | +0.044 | 0.98 | 1.00 | inconclusive |
| Foul balance | −0.253 | 0.88 | 1.00 | inconclusive |
The club's matches assigned to this referee, observed vs expected
Observed
14
Expected
12.3
p / q
0.70 / 1.00
inconclusive Seasons without a known referee for every match are not counted.
Number of matches (bars) and the season's points − expected deviation (hover)
From Real Sociedad's point of view.
Loading 15 matches…
15 matches · data file: /data/paires/soto-grado/real-sociedad.json