Record
51matches
51 matches of Real Madrid CF refereed by Jesús Gil Manzano, from 2012-13 to 2025-26.
Record
51matches
Points − expected points
+23.1pts over 51 matches
132 points obtained for 108.9 expected from the odds, i.e. +0.454 per match.
If only the odds mattered, over these 51 matches
Points obtained
132
Expected (odds)
108.9
Deviation
+23.1
two-sided p
0.004
Expected 108.9 ± 8.2 pts · probability of a deviation at least this large, in either direction: 0.4%.
Real Madrid CF against its opponents, with Gil Manzano
Deviation per match, raw p and corrected q (Benjamini-Hochberg, all pairs)
| Measure | Deviation | p | q | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Points − expected | +0.454 | 0.004 | 1.00 | inconclusive |
| Penalty balance | −0.016 | 0.94 | 1.00 | inconclusive |
| Red-card balance | −0.052 | 0.49 | 1.00 | inconclusive |
| Yellow-card balance | −0.005 | 1.00 | 1.00 | inconclusive |
| Foul balance | +0.594 | 0.42 | 0.94 | inconclusive |
The club's matches assigned to this referee, observed vs expected
Observed
47
Expected
25.5
p / q
< 0.001 / 0.18
inconclusive Seasons without a known referee for every match are not counted.
Number of matches (bars) and the season's points − expected deviation (hover)
From Real Madrid CF's point of view.
Loading 51 matches…
51 matches · data file: /data/paires/gil-manzano/real-madrid.json