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Ortiz Arias × Athletic Bilbao

10 matches of Athletic Bilbao refereed by Miguel Ángel Ortiz Arias, from 2021-22 to 2025-26.

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Athletic Bilbao

Ortiz Arias

Athletic Bilbao

inconclusivesmall sample

Inconclusive does not mean "no effect": with 10 matches, only a deviation of about ±1.65 points per match could have been detected.

Record

10matches

6 W2 D2 L

Points − expected points

+3.4pts over 10 matches

20 points obtained for 16.6 expected from the odds, i.e. +0.341 per match.

Points distribution from the odds

If only the odds mattered, over these 10 matches

Points obtained

20

Expected (odds)

16.6

Deviation

+3.4

two-sided p

0.48

Expected 16.6 ± 4.0 pts · probability of a deviation at least this large, in either direction: 48%.

For / against, per match

Athletic Bilbao against its opponents, with Ortiz Arias

0.10
Penalties won
0.10
1.70
Yellows received
1.90
0.20
Reds received
0.20
10.0
Fouls called against
10.0

Tests on the 5 measures

Deviation per match, raw p and corrected q (Benjamini-Hochberg, all pairs)

MeasureDeviationpqVerdict
Points − expected+0.3410.481.00inconclusive
Penalty balance−0.0560.981.00inconclusive
Red-card balance+0.0161.001.00inconclusive
Yellow-card balance−0.1080.921.00inconclusive
Foul balance+1.3290.460.96inconclusive

Appointments

The club's matches assigned to this referee, observed vs expected

Observed

9

Expected

12.2

p / q

0.45 / 1.00

inconclusive Seasons without a known referee for every match are not counted.

Matches per season

Number of matches (bars) and the season's points − expected deviation (hover)

Matches

The 10 matches

From Athletic Bilbao's point of view.

Loading 10 matches…

10 matches · data file: /data/paires/ortiz-arias/athletic-club.json