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Estrada Fernández × Athletic Bilbao

30 matches of Athletic Bilbao refereed by Xavier Estrada Fernández, from 2009-10 to 2019-20.

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Athletic Bilbao

Estrada Fernández

Athletic Bilbao

inconclusive

Inconclusive does not mean "no effect": with 30 matches, only a deviation of about ±0.95 points per match could have been detected.

Record

30matches

17 W5 D8 L

Points − expected points

+10.4pts over 30 matches

56 points obtained for 45.6 expected from the odds, i.e. +0.345 per match.

Points distribution from the odds

If only the odds mattered, over these 30 matches

Points obtained

56

Expected (odds)

45.6

Deviation

+10.4

two-sided p

0.15

Expected 45.6 ± 6.8 pts · probability of a deviation at least this large, in either direction: 15%.

For / against, per match

Athletic Bilbao against its opponents, with Estrada Fernández

0.20
Penalties won
0.10
2.47
Yellows received
2.67
0.07
Reds received
0.13
14.4
Fouls called against
13.7

Tests on the 5 measures

Deviation per match, raw p and corrected q (Benjamini-Hochberg, all pairs)

MeasureDeviationpqVerdict
Points − expected+0.3450.151.00inconclusive
Penalty balance+0.0570.681.00inconclusive
Red-card balance+0.0230.941.00inconclusive
Yellow-card balance−0.1360.721.00inconclusive
Foul balance−0.9410.350.94inconclusive

Appointments

The club's matches assigned to this referee, observed vs expected

Observed

30

Expected

30.1

p / q

1.00 / 1.00

inconclusive Seasons without a known referee for every match are not counted.

Matches per season

Number of matches (bars) and the season's points − expected deviation (hover)

VAR
Matches

The 30 matches

From Athletic Bilbao's point of view.

Loading 30 matches…

30 matches · data file: /data/paires/estrada-fernandez/athletic-club.json