Record
16matches
16 matches of RC Celta de Vigo refereed by Miguel Ángel Ortiz Arias, from 2021-22 to 2025-26.
Record
16matches
Points − expected points
−2.9pts over 16 matches
19 points obtained for 21.9 expected from the odds, i.e. −0.182 per match.
If only the odds mattered, over these 16 matches
Points obtained
19
Expected (odds)
21.9
Deviation
−2.9
two-sided p
0.63
Expected 21.9 ± 4.9 pts · probability of a deviation at least this large, in either direction: 63%.
RC Celta de Vigo against its opponents, with Ortiz Arias
Deviation per match, raw p and corrected q (Benjamini-Hochberg, all pairs)
| Measure | Deviation | p | q | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Points − expected | −0.182 | 0.63 | 1.00 | inconclusive |
| Penalty balance | +0.088 | 0.69 | 1.00 | inconclusive |
| Red-card balance | −0.247 | 0.10 | 1.00 | inconclusive |
| Yellow-card balance | −0.145 | 0.82 | 1.00 | inconclusive |
| Foul balance | −0.342 | 0.79 | 1.00 | inconclusive |
The club's matches assigned to this referee, observed vs expected
Observed
14
Expected
12.1
p / q
0.66 / 1.00
inconclusive Seasons without a known referee for every match are not counted.
Number of matches (bars) and the season's points − expected deviation (hover)
From RC Celta de Vigo's point of view.
Loading 16 matches…
16 matches · data file: /data/paires/ortiz-arias/celta-vigo.json