Record
15matches
15 matches of Rayo Vallecano refereed by Jesús Gil Manzano, from 2012-13 to 2025-26.
Record
15matches
Points − expected points
+1.6pts over 15 matches
19 points obtained for 17.4 expected from the odds, i.e. +0.104 per match.
If only the odds mattered, over these 15 matches
Points obtained
19
Expected (odds)
17.4
Deviation
+1.6
two-sided p
0.80
Expected 17.4 ± 4.5 pts · probability of a deviation at least this large, in either direction: 80%.
Rayo Vallecano against its opponents, with Gil Manzano
Deviation per match, raw p and corrected q (Benjamini-Hochberg, all pairs)
| Measure | Deviation | p | q | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Points − expected | +0.104 | 0.79 | 1.00 | inconclusive |
| Penalty balance | +0.056 | 0.88 | 1.00 | inconclusive |
| Red-card balance | −0.125 | 0.49 | 1.00 | inconclusive |
| Yellow-card balance | +0.486 | 0.37 | 1.00 | inconclusive |
| Foul balance | +0.035 | 0.99 | 1.00 | inconclusive |
The club's matches assigned to this referee, observed vs expected
Observed
14
Expected
17.4
p / q
0.50 / 1.00
inconclusive Seasons without a known referee for every match are not counted.
Number of matches (bars) and the season's points − expected deviation (hover)
From Rayo Vallecano's point of view.
Loading 15 matches…
15 matches · data file: /data/paires/gil-manzano/rayo-vallecano.json